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Re: I'm tired of summer already

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July 25, 2009 06:41PM
.LONG TERM (WED-SAT)...TEMPS LIKELY TO GRADUALLY COOL DOWN THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK TO CLOSER TO NEAR NORMAL VALUES. THE UPPER
HIGH MOVES BACK EAST AGAIN BY FRIDAY TO BRING OUR UPPER LEVEL FLOW
BACK TO MORE SOUTHWESTERLY...WHICH MIGHT INCREASE OUR MOISTURE WITH
A BETTER SUBTROPICAL FETCH. BOTH THE ECMWF AND THE GFS BRING AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EAST TO JUST OFF COASTAL OREGON AND NORTHERN
CALIF BY FRIDAY TO LOWER OUR HEIGHTS...THOUGH EACH DIFFER IN HOW
FAST TO MOVE IT EAST. THE SLOWER ECMWF WILL DELAY OUR HEIGHT FALLS
AND COOL DOWN TO THE END OF THE WEEK...WHILE THE FASTER GFS BRINGS A
FASTER COOL DOWN...ESPECIALLY OVER SBA AND SLO COUNTIES. NCEP
HEMISPHERIC DISCUSSIONS NOTED GOOD CONSISTENCY BETWEEN THE 00Z/25
AND 12Z/25 ECMWF RUNS...THUS FAVORING THE EC RUN AND HINTING THAT
OUR HEIGHTS WOULD BE SLOWER TO COME DOWN THROUGH THE WEEK. THAT
WOULD HELP KEEP TEMPERATURES FAIRLY STEADY THROUGH POSSIBLY THURSDAY
BEFORE COOLING DOWN. MEANWHILE GFS ENSEMBLE MEANS ARE ACTUALLY
FASTER THAN THE OPERATIONAL GFS. SO WILL STICK WITH CURRENT FORECAST
THAT COOLS US DOWN ON WED BUT MAY NEED TO ALTER THAT OVER NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. MARINE LAYER PRETTY CONSISTENT THROUGH THE WEEK.
SubjectAuthorViewsPosted

I'm tired of summer already

Rick898July 22, 2009 02:56PM

Re: I'm tired of summer already

Rick442July 25, 2009 06:41PM

Re: I'm tired of summer already

Rick812July 27, 2009 06:08PM



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