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HEAVY RAIN

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December 30, 2005 11:54AM
e0909 b1bwa00000
u n Urgent-NWS_LOX-BRIEF_HEA 12/30 712
BRIEF HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOO...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1006 AM PST FRI DEC 30 2005

...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING IN
THE BURN AREAS OF SANTA BARBARA...VENTURA...AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES
ON SATURDAY...

.A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM OFF THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST THIS
MORNING IS EXPECTED MOVE DOWN THE COAST THROUGH TONIGHT AND BRING
MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ON
SATURDAY. RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS THE GAVIOTA BURN AREA
OF SANTA BARBARA COUNTY LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...
WITH INTENSITIES INCREASING DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON
HOURS. RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS VENTURA AND
LOS ANGELES COUNTIES LATE SATURDAY MORNING OR SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...BECOMING LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES SATURDAY AFTERNOON
INTO SATURDAY EVENING AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.

A SECOND AND STRONGER STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT ALL OF THE
BURN AREAS FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS
SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING VERY INTENSE RAINFALL TO THE
REGION...AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES WILL ALMOST CERTAINLY BE REQUIRED
FOR ALL BURN AREAS. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS SECOND STORM
SYSTEM...PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
(LAXSPSLOX).

CAZ039-052-310300-
/O.CON.KLOX.FF.A.0004.051231T1400Z-060101T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY SOUTH COAST-SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
1006 AM PST FRI DEC 30 2005

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE GAVIOTA BURN AREA OF SANTA BARBARA COUNTY...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* THE GAVIOTA BURN AREA.

* FROM 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY AFTERNOON

* MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT THE GAVIOTA BURN AREA
ON SATURDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN 1.0
AND 1.5 INCHES ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS TO BETWEEN 2.0 AND 3.0
INCHES IN THE SANTA YNEZ RANGE.

* RAINFALL INTENSITIES MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING
WITH MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS BELOW THE GAVIOTA BURN AREA. THIS COULD
RESULT IN FLOODING OF THE PACIFIC COAST HIGHWAY NEAR GAVIOTA.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

$$

CAZ040-044-045-047-053-054-059-088-310300-
/O.CON.KLOX.FF.A.0004.051231T1600Z-060101T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
VENTURA COUNTY COAST-VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-
VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-LOS ANGELES COUNTY VALLEYS-
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE-
ANTELOPE VALLEY-SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-
1006 AM PST FRI DEC 30 2005

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR THE BURN AREAS OF VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* THE TOPANGA...HARVARD...SCHOOL...GORMAN...TOVEY...
PINE...CROWN...FOOTHILL...PIRU...SIMI...AND PADUA BURN AREAS.

* FROM 8 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH 8 PM SATURDAY EVENING

* MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT THE BURN AREAS ON
SATURDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN 0.5 AND
1.0 INCHES ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS TO BETWEEN 1.0 AND 2.0 INCHES
IN THE FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS.

* RAINFALL INTENSITIES MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING
WITH MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS BELOW THE BURN AREAS. ESPECIALLY PRONE
TO FLOODING WOULD BE THE MOST RECENT BURN AREAS WHICH INCLUDE THE
TOPANGA... HARVARD...SCHOOL...GORMAN...AND TOVEY BURN AREAS.
RESIDENTS OR PERSONS WITH INTERESTS NEAR AND ESPECIALLY
DOWNSTREAM OF THE BURN AREAS NEED TO BE PREPARED TO TAKE
PROTECTIVE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOODING WITH MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS
DEVELOP.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

$$

WOFFORD




EDIS-12-30-05 1007 PST
SubjectAuthorViewsPosted

HEAVY RAIN

Rick 959December 30, 2005 11:54AM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

Rick 580December 30, 2005 12:02PM

Re: AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

LaughingBear 666December 30, 2005 09:36PM

WINTER STORM WARNING

Rick 554December 31, 2005 01:25AM

TWO STORMS ON TAP FOR SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA

Rick 641December 31, 2005 01:27AM

Re: HEAVY RAIN

Rick 539December 31, 2005 02:49PM

Re: HEAVY RAIN

LaughingBear 575December 31, 2005 04:33PM

Re: HEAVY RAIN

Rick 543January 01, 2006 11:15AM

POTENTIAL FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMSWATERSPOUTS

Rick 1061January 02, 2006 08:54AM



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